Aglomerações, recessão e crescimento do emprego: uma análise para os municípios brasileirosS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.54805/RCE.2527-1180.v2.n2.39
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Palavras-chave:
aglomerações; recessão; crescimento do emprego.Resumo
O trabalho busca analisar se o impacto das crises econômicas sobre o crescimento do emprego, nos municípios brasileiros, é afetado pelo nível de aglomeração econômica. Para tanto, os municípios foram agrupados em diferentes níveis, de acordo com sua densidade populacional. Para a estimação, utilizou-se uma estratégia difference-in-differences com dados em painel para o período 2003-2011, tendo como referência a influência da crise ocorrida em 2008. Além disso, utilizaram-se controles associados a composição do mercado de trabalho, da indústria e da localização municipal. De maneira geral, os resultados indicam maior sensibilidade à crise nos municípios com baixa aglomeração ao utilizar como variável dependente o crescimento do emprego total. Para o crescimento do emprego na indústria de transformação os municípios com alta aglomeração apresentaram menor crescimento pós-crise.
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Referências
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SHIMER, R. Labor markets and business cycles. Princeton University Press. 2010.
VENABLES, A. J. Equilibrium locations of vertically linked industries. International Economic Review, 341-359. 1996.
VILADECANS-MARSAL, E Agglomeration economies and industrial location: city-level evidence. Journal of Economic Geography, 4(5), 565-582. 2004.
ARELLANO, M. Computing robust standard errors for within-groups estimators. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 49(4), 431-34. 1987.
BADIA, D.; FIGUEREDO, L. Impacto das externalidades dinâmicas de escala sobre o crescimento do emprego industrial nas cidades brasileiras. Revista Econômica do Nordeste, Fortaleza, 10(2), 123-167. 2007.
BAUM-SNOW, N.; LUTZ, B. F. School desegregation, school choice, and changes in residential location patterns by race. American Economic Review, 101(7), 3019-46. 2011.
BAUM-SNOW, N.; PAVAN, R. Understanding the city size wage gap. The Review of economic studies, 79(1). 2012.
BERTRAND, M., DUFLO, E.; MULLAINATHAN, S. How much should we trust differences-in-differences estimates? The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(1), 249-275. 2004.
BLIEN, U.; SUEDEKUM, J. Local economic structure and industry development in Germany, 1993− 2001. Economics Bulletin, 15(17), 1-8. 2005.
BLIEN, U., SUEDEKUM, J.; WOLF, K. Local employment growth in West Germany: A dynamic panel approach. Labour Economics, 13(4), 445-458. 2006.
BRIANT, A., COMBES, P. P.; LAFOURCADE, M. Dots to boxes: do the size and shape of spatial units jeopardize economic geography estimations? Journal of Urban Economics, 67(3), 287-302. 2010.
BRUNELLO, G.; LANGELLA, M. Local agglomeration, entrepreneurship and the 2008 recession: Evidence from Italian industrial districts. Regional Science and Urban Economics, 58, 104-114. 2016.
CICCONE, A.; HALL, R. E. Productivity and the Density of Economic Activity. The American Economic Review, 86(1), 54-70. 1996
COMBES, P. P. Economic structure and local growth: France, 1984–1993. Journal of urban economics, 47(3), 329-355. 2000.
COMBES, P. P.; DURANTON, G.; GOBILLON, L. Spatial wage disparities: Sorting matters! Journal of Urban Economics, 63(2), 723-742. 2008.
COMBES, P. P.; GOBILLON L. The empirics of agglomeration economies. In: Handbook of regional and urban economics. Vol. 5, pp. 247-348. Elsevier. 2015.
DE LA ROCA, J.; PUGA, D. Learning by working in big cities. The Review of Economic Studies, 84(1), 106-142. 2017.
DURANTON, G.; PUGA, D. Micro-foundations of urban agglomeration economies. In: HENDERSON, J. V.; THISSE, J. F. (ed) Handbook of regional and urban economics. Vol. 4, pp. 2063-2117. Elsevier. 2004.
FUJITA, M. A monopolistic competition model of spatial agglomeration: Differentiated product approach. Regional science and urban economics, 18(1), 87-124. 1988.
FUJITA, M.; THISSE, J. F. Economics of agglomeration: cities, industrial location, and globalization. Cambridge University Press. 2013.
GLAESER, E. L.; KALLAL, H. D., SCHEINKMAN, J. A.; SHLEIFER, A. Growth in cities. Journal of Political Economy, 100(6), 1126-1152. 1992.
GLAESER, E. L.; MARE, D. C. Cities and skills. Journal of Labor Economics, 19(2), 316-342. 2001.
GREENSTONE, M., HORBECKH, R.; MORETTI, E. Identifying agglomeration spillovers: evidence from winners and losers of large plant openings. Journal of Political Economy, 118(3), 536-598. 2010.
GUISO, L.; SCHIVARDI, F. Spillovers in industrial districts. The Economic Journal, 117(516), 68-93. 2007.
HENDERSON, V.; KUNCORO, A.; TURNER, M. Industrial development in cities. Journal of Political Economy, 103(5), 1067-1090. 1995.
HANSON, G. H. Market potential, increasing returns and geographic concentration. Journal of International Economics, 67(1), 1-24. 2005.
JACOBS, J. The life of cities. Random House. 1969.
KRUGMAN, P. Increasing returns and economic geography. Journal of Political Economy, 99(3), 483-499. 1991.
MAMELI, F., FAGGIAN, A.; MCCANN, P. Employment growth in Italian local labour systems: issues of model specification and sectoral aggregation. Spatial Economic Analysis, 3(3), 343-360. 2008.
MANELLI, F.; FAGGIN, A.; MCCANN, P. Estimation of local employment growth: do sectoral aggregation and industry definition matter? Regional Studies, 48(11), 1813-1828. 2014.
MARSHALL, A. Principles of political economy. Maxmillan, New York. 1890.
MATLABA, V. J.; HOLMES, M., MCCANN, P.; POOT, J. Agglomeration externalities and 1981-2006 regional growth in Brazil. Studies in Regional Science, 42(1), 145-161. 2012.
MICUCCI, G.; DI GIACINTO, V. The producer service sector in Italy: long-term growth and its local determinants. Spatial Economic Analysis, 4(4), 391-425. 2009.
OTTAVIANO, G.; THISSE, J. F. Agglomeration and economic geography. In: Handbook of regional and urban economics. Vol. 4, pp. 2563-2608. Elsevier. 2004.
PORTER, Michael E. The competitive advantage of nations. New York: Free Press. 1990.
REDDING, S. J.; STURM, D. M. The costs of remoteness: evidence from German division and reunification. American Economic Review, 98(5), 1766-97. 2008.
REDDING, S.; VENABLES, A. J. Economic geography and international inequality. Journal of international Economics, 62(1), 53-82. 2004.
SHIMER, R. Labor markets and business cycles. Princeton University Press. 2010.
VENABLES, A. J. Equilibrium locations of vertically linked industries. International Economic Review, 341-359. 1996.
VILADECANS-MARSAL, E Agglomeration economies and industrial location: city-level evidence. Journal of Economic Geography, 4(5), 565-582. 2004.
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Publicado
2020-08-07
Como Citar
Pelizza, C. R., & da Silva Pôrto Junior, S. . (2020). Aglomerações, recessão e crescimento do emprego: uma análise para os municípios brasileirosS. Revista Catarinense De Economia, 2(2), 162–185. https://doi.org/10.54805/RCE.2527-1180.v2.n2.39
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